Russian Progress and the Seasonal Pattern – 31 AUG 2026
Russian Progress and the Seasonal Pattern – 31 AUG 2026

For the third time this year Russia had lost territory in Ukraine on a weekly basis. (Graph not published regularly)

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Overall, Russia has been loosing territory in Ukraine so far since 7 August 2026 on a weekly basis.

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In comparison to 2024 and 2025, Russia had insignificant gains or losses in territory in Ukraine from April 2026 to July 2026. Note the seasonal pattern from April to July and how this year compares to previous years. Next seasonal pattern to check is October to December 2026. [ Technical note: 1st seasonal pattern is broken in 2026 ]

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This is an amalgamation of three posts on twitter and bluesky

https://x.com/UVDataOps/status/2094312585558700185
https://x.com/UVDataOps/status/2094312634996998186
https://x.com/UVDataOps/status/2094312738722111708

https://bsky.app/profile/uvdataops.bsky.social/post/3mueahwdmk22t
https://bsky.app/profile/uvdataops.bsky.social/post/3muealk3f2c2t
https://bsky.app/profile/uvdataops.bsky.social/post/3mueayoggnc2t