data and forecasts

area and occupation
CURRENT DATA

Direct Link to data, forecasts, and charts covering progress of occupation based on area in square kilometers.

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REMAINING EQUIPMENT
CURRENT DATA

Direct Link to data, forecasts, and charts covering equipment losses, remaining equipment, relaitve to production and initial inventory.

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Losses and AREA
CURRENT DATA

Direct link to data, forecasts, and charts covering losses of equipment relative to area with a comparrison to the baseline of 5th JAN 2024.

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REQUIRED PRODUCTION
CURRENT DATA

Direct link to data, forecasts, and charts covering required production and personnel to occupy additional territory.

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DATA SOurces & Methods

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dedicated to Analysis of Data to support prediction of outcomes in the Russo-Ukraine War.

The Primary focus is on historical estimates, current estimates, and forecasts related to personnel, tanks, armored combat vehicles, and artillery. Charts are also used to show progress and trends in historical data and forecasts.

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Russia’s Advantage in Artillery is Disappearing
18 APR 2025

The introduction of mass-produced longer-range drones for the front lines as played a major role in reducing the advantage that Russia used to have in Artillery over Ukraine.

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Official Enemy Losses reported by AFU may be accurate and realistic
6 APR 2025

Short article describing why offical enemy losses may be realistic and reasoably accurate using the estimate of required efficiency.

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will the war in ukraine end in 2026? - Revisitied
29 MAR 2025

This short article reviews the possibility of the war in Ukraine ending in 2026 updated with additional sources.

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will the war in ukraine end in 2026?
31 MAR 2025

This short article reviews the possibility of the war in Ukraine ending in 2026.

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Forecasts and Assumptions
22 MAR 2025

This article covers the conditions that govern the accuracy of any data and forecast, as well as changes to those conditions that may impact accuracy.

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Revised estimate for tank production
12 APR 2025

“Tank Production per Day” has been revised from 1.36 tanks per day to 1.64 tanks per day.

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Corps, a Force Multiplier for the Armed FOrces of UkrainE
31 MAR 2025

How corps built around elite brigades can be a force mutiplier for the Armed Forces of Ukraine

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